Pockets of regional growth support marginal rental increases
• London leapfrogs Hong Kong to take top spot for first time since 2008
• Rio de Janeiro soars from 8th to 3rd with a rental uplift of 43% on previous year
• Global office rents increase by 3%
• Beijing drops one place to 7th in the global ranking
London’s West End is the world’s most expensive office market once again after regaining its crown from Hong Kong’s Central Business District (CBD), according to research published today in Cushman & Wakefield’s Office Space Across the World 2013.
The report highlights the scarcity of quality space in London which has increased competition and consequently inflated office rents by 2% in the West End to make them the most expensive in the world.
“As a truly global city, London’s appeal continues unabated. In conjunction with a scarcity of good quality stock prime rents have increased over the year,” said Digby Flower, Cushman & Wakefield’s Head of London Markets. He added: “Equally importantly we expect rents to grow further as we get into recovery mode.”
Hong Kong’s CBD drops down into second place, while the Zona Sul area of Rio de Janeiro climbs from 8th last year and powers into the top three most expensive office locations in the world as a result of a 43% rental increase compared to 2011.
Globally, the office market witnessed prime rents rise by 3% in 2012, but this was largely driven by the impressive levels of growth in South America, particularly Brazil and Colombia. However, although prime rents expanded on a global basis, many markets suffered under continuing economic uncertainty and this led to increased occupier caution. Cushman & Wakefield expects the trend of companies proactively trying to reduce office occupancy costs to continue as the overall global economic outlook remains unsure.
Slower economic growth affected Asia as prime rents rose by only 3% over the year. Despite a clear deceleration in prime rents in both Hong Kong and Tokyo, the two cities ranked 2nd and 5th respectively in the world’s most expensive office locations, highlighting their importance as global business centres.
Beijing, which has experienced previously two years of massive prime rental growth, drops one place to 7th in the global ranking as rents remained unchanged over the last 12 months. Surplus space in non-core areas has provided a number of alternatives in the city. Connaught Place in New Delhi, India, also posted a considerable rise – prime rents increased by 25% in the last 12 months.
Andy Zhang, Managing Director of Cushman & Wakefield China, said, “Most major cities in China, particularly Beijing, have experienced sharp increase in rents in 2011 and stabilized in 2012. Sluggish global economy combined with a slowdown of Chinese economic growth has led to a fall in demand for office space. However, major office markets currently still have relatively low stock and limited future supply, which will keep the rents on a high level. Beijing’s ranking dropped to 7 from 6 in 2011, which will increase its competitiveness in the region.”
John Siu, Executive Director of Cushman & Wakefield Hong Kong, said: “In the last 12 months, we saw office demand in the Greater Central area of Hong Kong experience a slowdown, resulting in a sizable rental decline. Demand fell because of the restructuring among banking and financial institutions which led to office space reduction. Rents will still experience some downward pressure in 2013 due to slightly elevated availability but we believe they will begin to recover, starting in early 2014.”
In South East Asia, prime rents rose by 6% across the Philippines – caused by demand from the business process outsourcing (BPO) sector – while Jakarta’s CBD in Indonesia experienced a notable rental rise in 2012 of 46%.
Subdued business confidence affected prime rental performance within EMEA as activity in the region continued to be sluggish for the third consecutive year. Rental growth was largely nonexistent, particularly in Western Europe, where figures barely changed over the year, lifting by 0.3%. The Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) region outperformed Western Europe in terms of rental growth, albeit with a minimal increase of only 2%.
London’s West End remained the most expensive location in EMEA for another consecutive year. Its solid rental growth, driven by a lack of high-quality space and coupled with relatively steady demand, particularly from the technology sector, ensured competition for prime office space has continued. Prime rents increased towards the end of 2012, pushing London not only to the top of the EMEA regional ranking but also for the first time since 2008 to first place in the global ranking as the most expensive office location worldwide.
Barrie David, Senior Research Consultant in Cushman & Wakefield’s European Research Group, said: “The eurozone debt difficulties continued to have a destabilising effect on business confidence, leading to mostly flat rental performances across the EMEA region. Occupiers remained uncertain with the primary focus concentrated on cost-cutting strategies such as lease renegotiation or moving to more efficient space.”
Norway also saw a strong economic performance, which in turn spurred on robust occupier interest and increasing rents (11% rental growth on 2011).
Additionally, Kazakhstan (22% increase) and Turkey (13% increase) saw burgeoning demand from multinational companies, with Almaty and Istanbul becoming increasingly important regional business and financial centres.
The Americas region saw the highest rental growth over the year as prime rents moved up by 10%.
Rio de Janeiro is the most expensive city within the Americas and ranks in 3rd place globally – five places in front of 2011’s placing of 8th. The city’s Zona Sul submarket has seen rents increase by an impressive 43% over the last year – this is due to the scarcity of high-quality space, the lack of available land for new development and strong occupier demand. However, interest in South America was not purely limited to Brazil – Bogotá’s Andino submarket in Colombia recorded a 65% rise in prime rents while neighbouring Lima, Peru, increased by 7%.
Cushman & Wakefield’s Head of Office Agency in Brazil, Marina Cury, said: “The demand for office space increased throughout 2012 in all of the major regions of Brazil. Large multinationals are attracted to the country and are seeking high quality office space but this has become increasingly more difficult to find, especially in some areas of Rio de Janeiro.”
Overall, North America’s prime rents rose by 9% in 2012 but this can be attributed to a few standout markets such as San Francisco (19%) and Calgary (29%) which saw significant increases on the back of energy and technology sector expansion.
Apart from Rio de Janeiro, New York’s Midtown (Madison/5th Avenue) is the only other city within the Americas region to place in the top 10 most expensive global office markets by country ranking – it comes in at 8th, down one place from last year.