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European Outlook 2026

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Our latest report, "Czech Republic Real Estate Market Outlook 2026," provides key insights and trends to help you understand the market.

After a period of heightened uncertainty, GDP growth is expected to accelerate, inflation to stabilize within the CNB's target range, and unemployment to remain exceptionally low, among the lowest in Europe. Domestic demand remains robust, and with the recovery of foreign demand, the outlook for the industry is also improving.

This combination of macroeconomic factors creates a solid foundation for the real estate market, which is entering 2026 with different dynamics across individual segments.

Investment Market 

After a record-strong 2025, investment activity is expected to weaken slightly in 2026 and return to more sustainable long-term levels. Prime yields should remain largely stable in the coming months, with the possibility of slight compression in hotel assets, where demand remains strong.

Prague Office Market 

The Prague office sector enters 2026 with historically low new supply, a result of elevated construction costs and cautious development activity. Vacancy rates continue to fall, intensifying competition for high-quality space. Prime office rents are expected to rise further in central and inner city locations, supported by strong occupier demand, limited pipeline, and a growing emphasis on sustainability, energy efficiency, and workplace quality.

Industrial Market 

Industrial demand remains resilient, though the market is transitioning into a more balanced phase. New supply remains high, and vacancy is expected to increase slightly to around 4.5% in 2026. While prime rents in Greater Prague are expected to remain stable, some oversupplied submarkets may experience downward pressure on average rents. Development activity is likely to become more selective, focusing on established high-demand hubs.

Retail Market 

Prague’s Pařížská Street continues to rank among the world’s most prestigious luxury retail destinations, with strong brand demand and stable prime rents. Retail parks remain the dominant driver of new supply, reflecting occupiers’ preference for flexible, cost-efficient formats. Shopping centres are increasingly shifting toward refurbishment, mixed-use concepts, and experiential upgrades. Prime rents across all retail segments are expected to grow moderately in 2026, supported by stable macroeconomic conditions and recovering consumer spending.

Hotel Market 

Prague’s hotel market continues its post-pandemic recovery, with occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR all showing solid year-on-year growth. Supply remains constrained, with only modest additions planned for 2026—primarily in the upscale segment. International visitor numbers are expected to continue growing thanks to improving air connections, leading to an overall increase in demand for paid accommodation above 2025 levels.

 

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SECTOR-SPECIFIC REPORTS

Investment-Market-750-x-456
Economy & CRE Investment

The economy has seen stagnant growth and diminishing inflation, with Central Banks intensifying rate hikes. Inflation is on the expected path, encouraging Central Banks to continue their policies until at least H2 2024. Property values are projected to inflect in Q3 2024, coinciding with economic recovery and interest rate cuts.
Workpace Planning Imagery
Office

The European office market is adapting to hybrid work models, with a surge in flexible spaces and 'option space' in leases. Demand for Grade A office space remains strong, with a focus on quality and sustainability. Investment is shifting towards value-add opportunities in the office sector, especially in high-quality offices with strong ESG credentials.
Logistics
Logistics

Logistics occupier activity has slowed down, aligning with pre-pandemic levels. Vacancy rates are rising due to increased supply, and developers are becoming more cautious. Investment activity is expected to recover as pricing stabilises, with different capital strategies emerging.
retail-site-for-ICSC-webcard
Retail

The retail sector faces challenges from inflation, interest rate hikes, and low consumer confidence. Despite stagnant trade volumes, there's a growing demand for immersive retail experiences. Retail asset pricing is shifting towards value-add strategies, focusing on sustainability and community engagement.
kitchen
Living

The living sector, including senior living and student accommodation, sees sustained demand due to demographic trends and urbanisation. Despite a dip in 2023 investment volumes, the sector remains resilient and significant for investors, representing 20-25% of transactions in the EMEA region.
Hotel lobby women coffee
Hotel

The European hotel sector is showing resilience despite economic challenges, outperforming the broader real estate market. This is underpinned by the constrained supply and the strong operating performance recovery particularly in resort destinations and urban markets driven by leisure travel. This is expected to continue in 2024, albeit at slower pace.

Contacts

Sukhdeep-Dhillon-Head of EMEA Forecasting
Sukhdeep Dhillon

Head of EMEA Forecasting
London, United Kingdom


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Guilherme Neves
Guilherme Neves

Senior Research Analyst
Lisbon, Portugal


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Dominic Brown

Head of International Research, Global Think Tank
Brisbane, Australia


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