Australian commercial real estate (CRE) has enjoyed rising capital values and declining yields for over 11 years.
As a result, yields in many markets and sectors have fallen to record lows. The decline has been aided by interest rates falling to ultra-low levels. While Australia’s extraordinary recovery from the 2020 COVID-19 induced recession is suffering a setback from the latest lockdowns as the country reopens, interest rates can be expected to climb.
If so, when and how far are they likely to rise?