Cycle Watch: U.S. Economic Expansion Reaches Historic Point

Rebecca Rockey • 5/1/2018
The question of the day is “when is the next recession coming?”

2018 Cycle Watch Report

This expansion is already the second longest in U.S. history. Long expansions are not the historical norm—in fact, up through World War II, there was about a 50/50 chance in any given year that the U.S. would be in a recession.

Since then however, recessions have become less frequent. The expansion from 1961 through 1969 was tied as the second longest expansion in U.S. history—that is, until May 1 2019.

Read our Cycle Watch to learn more on why some expansions last more than others and current expectations by downloading our materials from this web page.

Review the Cycle Watch Materials

2018 Cycle Watch Report
Cycle Watch Report

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Economic Expansion Charts
Cycle Watch Charts

View the collection of charts tracking the U.S. economic expansion.

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Cycle Watch Blog
Cycle Watch Article

Read more about the US economic expansion in an article written by our research professionals.

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